Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaa2dd378904942d7fc926a321e904fec7f97607633553a78262a7c9e71ad681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof Tulane Green Wave, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Tulane Green Wave | 12c | 17,593$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.64 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…34e5backed Tulane Green Wave | 4c | 2,316$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 1,405$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tulane Green Wave | 13c | 1,233$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 996.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 800.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tulane Green Wave | 9c | 789.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulane Green Wave | 9c | 506.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 399.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Tulane Green Wave | 9c | 399.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Tulane Green Wave | 7c | 356.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf696…83a6backed Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 333.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 299.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tulane Green Wave | 15c | 227.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 5c | 210.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 198.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tulane Green Wave | 15c | 193.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 14c | 180.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tulane Green Wave | 9c | 149.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 128.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0276backed Tulane Green Wave | 12c | 125.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tulane Green Wave | 10c | 119.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…6828backed Tulane Green Wave | 11c | 108.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bullsthis page
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-14.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.