Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21924d2994bb5cda5135513803fbf53d43d1f4edf8bf53f89667b39a9eb4a9c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troy Trojansof Troy Trojans, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 11,276$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.69 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 18c | 3,893$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 17c | 3,050$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 2,388$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 1,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 28c | 1,794$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Troy Trojans | 68c | 1,480$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 1,284$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Troy Trojans | 66c | 1,022$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.21 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 19c | 972.52$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 17c | 810.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 808.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 15c | 651.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 19c | 505.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 17c | 431.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 399.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 21c | 267.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 243.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Troy Trojans | 80c | 195.65$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 24c | 187.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 21c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 12c | 121.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 118.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Troy Trojans | 67c | 112.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 22c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 16c | 98.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Troy Trojans | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 24c | 43.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Troy Trojans | 73c | 29.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Troy Trojans | 73c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksthis page
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-15.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-16.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-17.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 153.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.