Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Troy Trojans (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e76050337858c530cac62278e96f11cfbf48b080271f6e4ef2260f5879741f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksof Troy Trojans, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Troy Trojans | 53c | 1,406$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.96 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 1,290$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Troy Trojans | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 536$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 425$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 44c | 272.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 44c | 227.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked Troy Trojans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Troy Trojans | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 41c | 139.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 44c | 136.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Troy Trojans | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 47.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Troy Trojans | 51c | 42.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Troy Trojans | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Troy Trojans | 58c | 29.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Troy Trojans | 59c | 25.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…0cfebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-15.5)this page
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-16.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-17.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe WarhawksTroy Trojans won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 153.5Under won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.