Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df4497176290d07682c632ca3bbfcbe972c35538cd1207fdde9284bc6e7379a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 49c | 26,283$12,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,441.97 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 20,078$10,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,231.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 6,930$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.57 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,528$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.35 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 51c | 3,190$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.9 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 2,887$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.53 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 2,488$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.7 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 51c | 1,872$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,802$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Over | 51c | 1,080$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Over | 51c | 979.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 797$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 50c | 688$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 509.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 51c | 437.25$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 51c | 246$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 217.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 52c | 202.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Over | 52c | 199.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 191.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 187.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…a577backed Under | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Under | 50c | 67.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…53e9backed Under | 49c | 66.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 50c | 64.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Over | 52c | 48.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 26c | 46.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 50c | 44.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 51c | 36.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Under | 49c | 36.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 50c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…d389backed Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Over | 67c | 16.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 153.5this page
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-15.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-16.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-17.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe WarhawksTroy Trojans won
- Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 154.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.