TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UT Arlington Mavericksof Utah Tech Trailblazers, UT Arlington Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a0a…24a9backed Utah Tech Trailblazers30c3,339$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.294513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UT Arlington Mavericks74c2,228$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.933,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers34c1,287$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers31c1,254$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.881,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked UT Arlington Mavericks67c1,227$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.911,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah Tech Trailblazers33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39625130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UT Arlington Mavericks70c1,145$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.592,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c904.62$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5f…56a0backed Utah Tech Trailblazers37c540.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks63c414.46$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Tech Trailblazers4c411.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Utah Tech Trailblazers33c394.3$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.121,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c370$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.816051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Utah Tech Trailblazers34c368.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c364$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c358.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.291,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c307.49$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.991,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Tech Trailblazers40c299.83$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.932,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks71c295.59$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Utah Tech Trailblazers39c255$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.421,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0a…c2c4backed Utah Tech Trailblazers22c229.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Utah Tech Trailblazers20c228.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5518557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UT Arlington Mavericks60c216.84$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.272,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah Tech Trailblazers40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.232,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers38c199.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UT Arlington Mavericks70c157$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers33c147.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.124,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed UT Arlington Mavericks63c142.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3421955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UT Arlington Mavericks66c132.36$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UT Arlington Mavericks61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.591,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UT Arlington Mavericks64c111.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed UT Arlington Mavericks73c100.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.136942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed UT Arlington Mavericks63c81.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.014738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked UT Arlington Mavericks79c80.26$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Utah Tech Trailblazers35c75.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2162140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Utah Tech Trailblazers34c74.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3621937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UT Arlington Mavericks60c74.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Utah Tech Trailblazers41c69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers34c64.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed UT Arlington Mavericks62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5249849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UT Arlington Mavericks71c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Utah Tech Trailblazers27c60.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.371,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed UT Arlington Mavericks67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed UT Arlington Mavericks62c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked UT Arlington Mavericks68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e4…e3d4backed Utah Tech Trailblazers34c49.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…3400backed UT Arlington Mavericks63c49.21$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.212441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed UT Arlington Mavericks77c44.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.445168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed UT Arlington Mavericks62c42.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0812748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed UT Arlington Mavericks76c42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0133445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UT Arlington Mavericks75c35.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks60c33.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.192,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Utah Tech Trailblazers33c32.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7416140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UT Arlington Mavericks72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8931666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked UT Arlington Mavericks63c16.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UT Arlington Mavericks68c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.