TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32ed…3400

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morehead State Eagles vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.23
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.21
Longwood Lancers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. New Haven Chargersbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Albany Great Danes vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Chicago State Cougarsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Drexel Dragons vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+54.4%+$16.31
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$79.85
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.2%+$29.51
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$6,633.3
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,323.63
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.07
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,053.5
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$3,595.93
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$3,526.88
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.02
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,146.02
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+226.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,602Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4,147.38
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,918Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$12,440.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+237.4%+$944.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$453.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.