Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96aba876fd78029e7dc00382d77cd0092b6c415ea0a8a1ca7cff5919eac0551b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,286,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,121,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,286,681 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 976 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	39c	49,377$19,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,044.88	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	40c	37,889$15,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,017.92	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	45c	22,181$10,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,056	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4900…40d9backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	58c	19,235$11,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,073.34	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	46c	15,686$7,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,251.54	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	48c	15,583$7,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,478.17	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No	34c	14,931$5,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,873.64	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes	47c	14,386$6,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,761.35	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	19cpaid	+1,075.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	18c	14,151$2,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.37	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2a…534ebacked Yes	52c	13,447$7,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,024.81	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	32c	12,425$3,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,992.33	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	12,000$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.9	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	52c	11,567$5,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,569.4	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	27c	11,057$2,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,930.19	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	57c	10,846$6,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,638.85	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	72c	10,548$7,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,994.75	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	9,883$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.62	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	9,428$7,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,318.82	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	21c	9,258$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.03	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	28c	9,042$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	54c	8,742$4,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,722.65	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	42c	7,214$3,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,184.01	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	46c	7,207$3,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,912.77	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	36c	6,450$2,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,346.94	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	42c	6,351$2,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,693.78	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…fca7backed Yes	61c	5,603$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c4…978fbacked Yes	42c	5,465$2,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,303.78	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.23per pick	30cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	57c	5,233$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	46c	5,057$2,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,745.25	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	9c	5,006$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.67	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf328…2b78backed Yes	59c	4,982$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	53c	4,880$2,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,567.99	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	46c	4,584$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	42c	4,564$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,903.37	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	17c	4,507$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.15	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	26c	4,500$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.98	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	16c	4,205$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.39	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	65c	4,019$2,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,609.29	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dab…38fabacked Yes	45c	3,989$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	62c	3,896$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,482.98	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f9…1a73backed Yes	1c	3,881$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	41c	3,872$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b6…7bc1backed Yes	50c	3,691$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,845.67	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	65cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	46c	3,690$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,694.2	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	52c	3,633$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.39	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	47c	3,600$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,686.51	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	51c	3,462$1,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.95	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	23c	3,296$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.45	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	29c	3,263$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	35c	3,234$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.43	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	27c	3,105$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.76	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	36c	3,047$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.02	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	46c	3,000$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.11	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72d…8d07backed Yes	49c	2,859$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes	56c	2,845$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,580.53	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	59c	2,740$1,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,117.82	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x794e…5358backed Yes	48c	2,675$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.84	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	23c	2,662$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.9	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes	53c	2,662$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.64	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	57c	2,563$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.82	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked Yes	75c	2,500$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,865	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	12c	2,491$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.01	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	32c	2,488$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.7	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	66c	2,447$1,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.02	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	49c	2,399$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.69	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6282…c9f0backed Yes	47c	2,351$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.08	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	28c	2,346$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.47	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	62c	2,269$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.08	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cca…f402backed Yes	40c	2,216$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.65	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	13c	2,173$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.52	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…efb9backed Yes	60c	2,093$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.79	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x444a…07adbacked No	36c	2,081$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.95	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	60c	2,057$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.81	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Yes	49c	2,045$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+71%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	54c	2,013$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	35c	2,004$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.91	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	78c	2,003$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e61…901fbacked No	64c	2,000$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	9c	1,957$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.72	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	30c	1,939$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.9	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	1,839$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.88	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	47c	1,838$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.09	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	21c	1,782$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.48	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	56c	1,774$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.77	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	28c	1,727$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.36	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	1,706$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.36	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	19c	1,704$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.46	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	50c	1,656$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.54	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	54c	1,648$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.04	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d99…854fbacked Yes	21c	1,645$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.06	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	30c	1,612$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.44	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	50c	1,611$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.07	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	20c	1,608$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.61	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	25c	1,557$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.46	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	38c	1,551$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.03	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	34c	1,513$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.81	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…177cbacked Yes	59c	1,501$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.46	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+171.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	27c	1,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event