Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e73cc5be5299d0d78b7bdfae2c9384c893cbe24f6aec9ff40750b3ff6b2ae08

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,033,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $494,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,033,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	91,963$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,727.09	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	0c	35,000$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	34,147$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.4	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	16,662$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.55	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13c…4af2backed Yes	1c	16,000$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	15,636$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.3	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	14,515$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.13	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	7c	13,056$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.33	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	12,917$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.4	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	1c	12,311$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.58	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	12,257$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.93	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	11,561$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.17	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	10,028$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.36	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	5c	9,280$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.22	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	4c	9,254$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.55	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	6c	9,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.78	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	8,999$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.61	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	1c	8,770$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.78	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	7,454$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	11c	7,343$826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.55	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	6,448$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.96	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	6,073$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.04	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	4c	6,002$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.14	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	11c	5,877$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.28	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	9c	5,500$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.83	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	5,384$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.32	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	5,229$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,381$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed Yes	0c	4,002$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	3c	4,000$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff26…c6e9backed Yes	5c	3,733$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	0c	3,560$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	8c	3,542$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.32	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	2c	3,511$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.78	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	6c	3,435$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.38	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cac…1f4cbacked Yes	1c	3,177$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	6c	3,100$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.22	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	3,092$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	3,006$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.43	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	3,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	1c	2,990$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…8d36backed Yes	1c	2,974$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,960$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…9b8bbacked Yes	2c	2,849$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	14c	2,800$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.01	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	7c	2,786$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.08	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes	2c	2,737$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	2,691$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.85	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	14c	2,612$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.8	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	5c	2,576$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.21	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	7c	2,501$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.97	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Yes	1c	2,408$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	2,404$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.13	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	11c	2,397$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.79	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	2c	2,343$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	13c	2,291$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.48	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	13c	2,290$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.17	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	2c	2,171$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	2,053$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.15	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	2,009$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.18	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	12c	2,000$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	3c	2,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	14c	2,000$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	1c	1,957$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	1,948$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.48	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	7c	1,906$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	9c	1,888$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.03	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	11c	1,814$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	1,800$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,735$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.61	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	14c	1,734$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.29	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	4c	1,723$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.55	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	11c	1,702$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.45	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	9c	1,692$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.57	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Yes	6c	1,685$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.38	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	2c	1,654$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05aa…e3c3backed Yes	1c	1,601$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+201.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	3c	1,552$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	5c	1,550$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.38	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	1,545$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864d…64afbacked Yes	4c	1,524$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.22	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,521$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.03	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Yes	1c	1,509$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,503$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d99…854fbacked Yes	15c	1,490$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.68	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	2c	1,440$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.69	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0383…7eefbacked Yes	2c	1,432$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	263	14.8%39 W · 224 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50a…0eb1backed Yes	11c	1,411$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.46	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2d…9a86backed Yes	15c	1,400$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+258.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	5c	1,400$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	5c	1,399$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.24	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes	12c	1,390$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.28	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	8c	1,330$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.88	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d09…71ffbacked Yes	4c	1,281$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540a…41aebacked Yes	7c	1,274$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.24	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	10c	1,151$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.34	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacc5…efd9backed Yes	13c	1,117$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.31	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	2c	1,110$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	6c	1,010$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event