Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23a5dd4195664576da9963ef016ac43b3154da408f608379848c25b99c0828f

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,246,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $754,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,246,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	48,131$4,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,075.03	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	20c	25,200$5,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,019.6	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes	1c	23,331$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.75	64	1.6%1 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	10c	22,115$2,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.84	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	16c	18,148$2,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850.66	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	16,391$1,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,763.51	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	0c	16,000$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.37	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	4c	13,948$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.14	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	10c	12,000$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.13	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	6c	11,965$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.82	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	11,847$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.82	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	11,235$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.26	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed Yes	18c	10,732$1,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881.73	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	12c	10,240$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.34	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	10c	9,889$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.14	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	5c	9,097$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.02	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	8c	8,531$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.94	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	13c	8,220$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	10c	7,975$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.55	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	7c	7,975$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.33	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	7,415$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.37	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	19c	6,587$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.04	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	6,482$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.88	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	12c	6,332$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.71	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	9c	4,793$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.32	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	9c	4,631$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.6	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	8c	4,481$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	5c	4,440$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.14	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	15c	4,339$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.12	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	11c	4,297$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.65	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	5c	4,265$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.48	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	4,220$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.44	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d99…854fbacked Yes	11c	4,201$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.39	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	17c	4,148$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	4,095$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.01	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	11c	4,000$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.13	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	7c	3,706$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.4	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	3,624$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.91	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	12c	3,553$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.88	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	7c	3,533$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.15	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	3,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9910…f5f9backed Yes	20c	3,452$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.84	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	11c	3,264$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.14	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,244$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	11c	3,237$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.08	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	3,200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	0c	3,117$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	14c	3,059$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.95	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	9c	3,027$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.39	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	7c	3,001$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.08	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	5c	2,974$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.93	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	13c	2,974$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.65	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	8c	2,959$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.66	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	13c	2,953$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.49	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	2,900$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.3	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	2,837$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.38	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	27c	2,678$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6e…670abacked Yes	8c	2,584$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	26c	2,537$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.78	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	2,510$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.26	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	2,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e1…29f8backed Yes	11c	2,467$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.83	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	80c	2,459$1,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.58	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	12c	2,423$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.45	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	2,394$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.64	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	16c	2,280$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.92	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2a…534ebacked Yes	16c	2,225$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	12c	2,190$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.03	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	16c	2,176$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	20c	2,147$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.51	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	21c	2,001$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.53	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.5	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	16c	1,971$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.33	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	1,953$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	17c	1,944$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.68	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	7c	1,925$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.56	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	8c	1,915$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.18	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f14…905dbacked Yes	12c	1,910$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+64%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa230…5f3fbacked Yes	15c	1,900$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.83	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	19c	1,900$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.29	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	14c	1,892$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	10c	1,878$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	13c	1,853$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.96	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	1,801$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.09	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed No	80c	1,785$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.74	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ecf…05fbbacked No	75c	1,750$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8241…f368backed Yes	25c	1,750$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Yes	15c	1,734$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.8	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	16c	1,714$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.5	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes	12c	1,679$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	11c	1,675$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.59	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	15c	1,596$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.55	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	9c	1,570$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.93	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	9c	1,544$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.95	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	7c	1,509$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.09	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	27c	1,500$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.61	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540a…41aebacked Yes	11c	1,457$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.07	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event