Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4abbc28ee5a65af88110086fd9f39defd717d952b6641b11dc2775c255831327

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,245,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $633,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,245,845 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	75,284$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,794.29	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	1c	53,133$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.01	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	35,333$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	1c	27,840$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.56	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	24,990$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	21,016$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,205.9	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	20,816$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.57	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d07…4243backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	1c	16,955$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.31	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	14c	14,368$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	12,473$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.73	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	10c	12,000$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.76	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	1c	11,529$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	10,461$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	2c	9,489$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Yes	0c	9,081$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.4	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117f…e958backed Yes	3c	9,007$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.73	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	5c	8,994$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.79	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes	1c	8,599$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.81	64	1.6%1 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	8,487$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.91	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	8,482$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.67	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	8,178$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.44	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	6,945$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.85	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	0c	6,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	5,671$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	5,450$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	8c	5,278$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.47	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	5,089$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.93	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	5,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.97	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	4,894$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	2c	4,826$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.51	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	4,775$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.83	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes	0c	4,559$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	4c	4,468$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.17	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7921…fd2fbacked Yes	0c	4,449$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	4,415$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.15	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…541ebacked Yes	1c	4,175$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	4,145$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.86	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	4,105$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.85	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb027…7389backed Yes	6c	3,917$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.7	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	8c	3,893$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.2	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e54…8347backed Yes	1c	3,874$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,750$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	3,699$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.66	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	8c	3,632$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	11c	3,559$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.42	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de1…16c5backed Yes	1c	3,449$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	2c	3,343$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	3c	3,125$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.47	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	1c	3,110$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f14…905dbacked Yes	5c	3,095$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+64%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	3,095$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	17c	3,028$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.43	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94de…0847backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	12c	3,000$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.96	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	2,948$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.84	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	1c	2,848$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.74	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	9c	2,800$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee6…e759backed Yes	1c	2,646$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	2c	2,545$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	1c	2,509$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9910…f5f9backed Yes	16c	2,505$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.12	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	2c	2,474$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	2,398$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.38	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	6c	2,363$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.23	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	3c	2,310$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.72	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	11c	2,200$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	3c	2,199$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	9c	2,191$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.07	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	2c	2,065$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.86	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	11c	2,044$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.91	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	2,006$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.74	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9384…8a95backed Yes	1c	1,886$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f2…5e9cbacked Yes	1c	1,810$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	14c	1,802$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	2c	1,778$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.64	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Yes	1c	1,768$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-20%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x855b…fc7bbacked Yes	1c	1,669$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fc…821dbacked Yes	1c	1,667$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	4c	1,652$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.57	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b06…c11bbacked Yes	3c	1,583$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	4c	1,579$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.93	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,550$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,541$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.47	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	1,538$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.96	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	3c	1,529$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.28	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	1,525$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	5c	1,507$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,506$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.81	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	1,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.87	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…746fbacked Yes	18c	1,494$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.02	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	1,453$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.23	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	1c	1,425$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	4c	1,406$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	1c	1,404$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes	6c	1,400$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.8	101	14.9%15 W · 86 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes	2c	1,375$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.21	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event