Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99884b3f3cc333e3951aa35c4969cf5f5ac0a550a84bf07f6389d66010e30b2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,498,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $947,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,498,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	41,471$2,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,595.02	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	0c	41,029$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.03	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	32,901$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.24	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	25,826$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.24	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	2c	19,163$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.08	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	18,803$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.21	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	14c	17,107$2,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,362.48	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	16,756$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.08	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	3c	16,145$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.14	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	15,357$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.08	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	14,275$1,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,867.73	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	11,939$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.85	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	8c	11,426$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.9	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	11,161$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.66	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x041d…d091backed Yes	0c	10,787$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	12c	10,695$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.1	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes	1c	10,586$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.63	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes	0c	10,432$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	274	0.4%1 W · 273 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	+257.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	19c	10,074$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.68	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	2c	10,021$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.69	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	9,959$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	7c	9,738$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.28	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	9,525$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.04	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	16c	9,323$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	8c	9,012$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.62	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	3c	8,462$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.58	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	10c	8,423$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.42	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	1c	8,416$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	2c	8,027$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.8	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	5c	7,977$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.87	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	11c	7,616$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.04	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	10c	7,524$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.77	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	2c	7,225$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	16c	6,880$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.48	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Yes	1c	6,463$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.65	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	6,329$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	9c	6,150$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.04	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	1c	6,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	11c	5,787$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.39	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	6c	5,646$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.47	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	27c	5,626$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.93	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	16c	5,624$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.44	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	11c	5,562$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	19c	5,078$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.23	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	8c	4,754$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.22	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed Yes	1c	4,634$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.34	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	6c	4,575$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.83	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	19c	4,341$828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.82	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…92d8backed Yes	1c	4,305$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	4,294$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.97	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	4,291$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.77	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	6c	4,236$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	4c	4,105$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.65	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	4c	4,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed Yes	1c	3,991$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.57	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	12c	3,989$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.81	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f14…905dbacked Yes	1c	3,989$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+64%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	3,983$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	10c	3,778$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.98	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	3,500$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.33	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	1c	3,498$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.58	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4c…602ebacked Yes	1c	3,384$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	3,248$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.1	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	11c	3,130$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.62	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	15c	3,120$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.99	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	7c	3,000$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	10c	2,912$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.05	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	17c	2,802$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.35	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	2,743$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.46	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	7c	2,725$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.54	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	17c	2,723$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	2,643$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.03	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	6c	2,635$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.7	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	2,625$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	2,508$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.57	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	2,390$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.15	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	8c	2,386$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.13	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	5c	2,308$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.6	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Yes	8c	2,300$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.24	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2a…534ebacked Yes	16c	2,222$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	10c	2,204$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	2,203$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.34	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	2,184$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.04	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	15c	2,080$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.86	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	18c	2,025$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.67	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb845…b607backed Yes	1c	2,023$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	23cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd245…2318backed Yes	1c	2,014$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	4c	2,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b41…2a52backed Yes	1c	1,914$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	12c	1,864$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.5	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Yes	1c	1,805$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	8c	1,800$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.21	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	2c	1,791$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	5c	1,788$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.35	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cd…1afabacked Yes	1c	1,772$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c5…66e8backed Yes	1c	1,729$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event