Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01dd8795176ff3add669f0c5be2bbba86ef480fe25ce165ba1bda063d91304f3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,180,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,072,414

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	56c	41,308$23,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,150.97	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	73c	35,642$25,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,645.99	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Yes	57c	35,350$20,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,058.18	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	29c	22,989$6,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,404.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d39…b8c6backed Yes	30c	21,102$6,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,803.58	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	28cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked No	73c	17,757$13,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,024.67	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	21c	17,540$3,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,935.61	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…6176backed No	0c	16,390$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	33c	15,695$5,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,530.1	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	19c	13,355$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,795.09	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	53c	12,760$6,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,701.89	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	39c	12,663$4,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,667.06	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	33c	11,720$3,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,802.79	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	29c	10,754$3,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,646.41	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	10,484$1,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,293.83	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	28c	9,864$2,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,126.52	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	34c	9,596$3,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,366.52	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	9,006$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,163.67	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	19c	8,373$1,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,762.32	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	25c	8,061$2,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,010.16	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	36c	7,521$2,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,843.85	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	20c	7,516$1,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,976.99	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	25c	7,318$1,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,518.16	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	37c	7,311$2,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,588.02	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	36c	6,951$2,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,467.73	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	6,793$4,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,762.2	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	35c	5,456$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,527.72	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	29c	5,016$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,570.46	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	68c	4,919$3,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,365.31	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	32c	4,748$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,248.23	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	70c	4,674$3,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,269.61	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Yes	33c	4,576$1,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,080.62	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	17c	4,460$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,685.29	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf328…2b78backed Yes	56c	4,418$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,938.01	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	32c	4,108$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,793.93	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dab…38fabacked Yes	42c	4,065$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,365.24	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	8c	4,001$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,662.16	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	35c	3,904$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,553.91	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes	30c	3,897$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,709.2	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c4…978fbacked Yes	33c	3,872$1,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600.94	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.23per pick	30cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	15c	3,710$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,135.49	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041d…d091backed No	6c	3,607$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e2a…534ebacked Yes	20c	3,548$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,847.79	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	18c	3,241$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,655.64	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9910…f5f9backed Yes	18c	3,195$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,605.12	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	49c	3,100$1,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530.96	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.99	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed No	77c	3,000$2,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,302.98	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	26c	2,893$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.11	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	74c	2,817$2,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,070.68	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	21c	2,800$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,224.64	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	14c	2,775$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,377.22	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	28c	2,772$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,007.56	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	43c	2,761$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.75	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	29c	2,712$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,938.19	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	36c	2,650$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.84	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	45c	2,628$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.85	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x794e…5358backed Yes	48c	2,600$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.49	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e0…281ebacked Yes	26c	2,522$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,864.39	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	6c	2,510$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.06	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	30c	2,500$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.26	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	28c	2,470$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,769.16	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	32c	2,391$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.61	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	11c	2,313$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,067.1	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c9…2c0ebacked Yes	10c	2,243$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,011.3	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	40c	2,222$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,336.04	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes	18c	2,124$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.38	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed No	76c	2,104$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,593.29	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	17c	2,100$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,745.87	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	17c	2,088$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,725.87	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	32c	2,081$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,413.8	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	2,066$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.24	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	38c	2,061$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,272.86	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	42c	2,000$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…f2cdbacked Yes	20c	1,968$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,567.58	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f6…9404backed Yes	28c	1,915$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.54	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	61c	1,910$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.58	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	21c	1,900$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,898$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,739	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	22c	1,855$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.8	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	27c	1,841$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.11	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	38c	1,813$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.95	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	19c	1,808$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.41	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	68c	1,773$1,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.59	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f23…90dbbacked Yes	35c	1,754$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.32	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes	16c	1,725$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,448.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+180.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	41c	1,691$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.97	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	30c	1,669$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.53	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	32c	1,666$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.68	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	40c	1,570$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946.63	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	30c	1,555$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,093.1	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	30c	1,550$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.29	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	31c	1,540$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.07	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	20c	1,528$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.22	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cd…c66abacked Yes	53c	1,500$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	17c	1,500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.99	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5c…ef81backed Yes	37c	1,481$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.21	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6282…c9f0backed Yes	65c	1,475$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.22	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a2d…e075backed Yes	59c	1,469$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.76	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8a…edf9backed No	53c	1,460$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.9	51	74.5%38 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event