Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04bbbc29c41dfd778821921e2dcab6f5d64d354f6fcc66058d5f2f8202992ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Le Moyne Dolphins, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 25c | 2,749$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 71c | 2,187$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.29 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 72c | 1,485$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 1,065$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 867$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 30c | 745.27$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.57 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 73c | 669.57$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 19c | 660.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 630$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 511.02$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 479$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 386$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 299.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 253.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 226.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 26c | 194.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 61c | 193.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 74c | 192.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 73c | 146.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 60c | 118.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 19c | 112.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 95.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…2ef2backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 17c | 73.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 31c | 61.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 26c | 48.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 63c | 43.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 41.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 30c | 37.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 39c | 34.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 72c | 26.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…9fa4backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 69c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 62c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 72c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-3.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-4.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.