TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bb9…6c85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3778.4%29 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$14.06
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$4.86
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.55
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$4.15
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$53.5
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$26.94
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$12.05
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$42.6
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$75.21
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$12.92
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$12.38
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.73
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$10.91
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$17.2
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.04
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$9.65
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$14.4
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68.3
Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$8.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$42.95
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$16.85
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+62%+$7.18
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51%+$32.09
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$20.68
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.55
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.68
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$5.9
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$5.08
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$19.35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+36.6%+$5.36
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$14.59
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.77
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.93
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.63
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$4.27
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$12.18
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$8.15
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$11.61
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$4.58
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Mercer Bearsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.3
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$6.65
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$9.69
Split: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Lia Karatanchevabacked Karatancheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Otto Virtanenbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Chile Open, Qualification: Facundo Mena vs Daniel Galanbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will any team beat Vitalitybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$4.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$13.64
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$24.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$5.36
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$19.5
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$11.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.7%+$30.53
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.9%+$6.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mandatory vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$4.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.