Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Irvine Anteaters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x977d91235c3f04f73343fc58763bd0ab2387a9fcb41bdb3ebb41e91efb08baab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof California-San Diego Tritons, UC Irvine Anteaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 31c | 10,000$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 5,338$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 3,387$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.59 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 3,055$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.98 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 2,627$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.34 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 26c | 1,926$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 1,813$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.11 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 1,267$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 1,176$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5150…3f69backed California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 1,042$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.59 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 69c | 873.03$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 63c | 785.64$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 42c | 626$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed California-San Diego Tritons | 35c | 550.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 519.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 506.06$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 466.87$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.47 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 431.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 420.02$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 417.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 16c | 404.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 67c | 400$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 44c | 363$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 300$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.57 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 26c | 272.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 269$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 33c | 201.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 199.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 63c | 182.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 34c | 181.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 36c | 159.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 44c | 159.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 142.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 122$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 21c | 120.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 115.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 64c | 106.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed California-San Diego Tritons | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 65c | 76.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 74.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 70.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 57.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 22c | 57.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 34c | 54.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California-San Diego Tritons | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed California-San Diego Tritons | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 37.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 35.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…6c85backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed California-San Diego Tritons | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Irvine Anteatersthis page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 141.5Under won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-4.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.