TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76d0…c092

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$309.99
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$594.39
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$945.02
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+150%+$342
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$483.98
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$234.46
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$359.76
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.91
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$837.47
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$480
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$454
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.98
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$307
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$400
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+525%+$525
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$399.99
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$257.06
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.94
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$465.42
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$339
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$394.73
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$201.78
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$295.92
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$230.29
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$105
First Blood in Game 3?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$386
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+109%+$1,257.02
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$524.76
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+70.4%+$356.3
First Blood in Game 3?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+80.2%+$198.79
First Blood in Game 2?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85%+$764.61
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$368.16
First Blood in Game 1?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+93%+$235.78
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 4 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$130
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$130
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.3%+$266.52
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104.34
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+122.4%+$272.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112%+$21.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$324
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+86.6%+$239.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$167.49
Chargers vs. Cardinalsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.