NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9860936522f10295900b487d0349294f372506d070bb7bab6d417e735d3022a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Chargers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 40,632$19,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,404.47 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…8414backed Chargers | 53c | 23,049$12,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,215.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…294cbacked Cardinals | 47c | 23,000$10,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,190 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…cdd3backed Cardinals | 47c | 23,000$10,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…9c13backed Chargers | 53c | 23,000$12,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,190 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…6438backed Chargers | 53c | 22,470$11,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,909.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…638fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 20,700$9,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,971 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Chargers | 52c | 15,325$7,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,969.06 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cardinals | 45c | 13,040$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.75 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Chargers | 53c | 10,962$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.64 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Chargers | 58c | 9,751$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Chargers | 49c | 9,054$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.02 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cardinals | 48c | 8,429$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.33 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cardinals | 51c | 7,803$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.63 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Chargers | 52c | 6,316$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,223$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.63 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cardinals | 48c | 4,764$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.96 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…8f6dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…d22fbacked Chargers | 53c | 4,390$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers | 43c | 4,318$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.07 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Chargers | 54c | 3,872$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…c86dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdb…4a63backed Chargers | 53c | 3,800$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…bb6cbacked Chargers | 53c | 3,800$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…0511backed Chargers | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…95b8backed Cardinals | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 47c | 3,468$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.6 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Cardinals | 77c | 3,444$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.01 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 3,212$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chargers | 34c | 2,714$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.31 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…baf1backed Chargers | 45c | 2,685$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…867bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,670$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Chargers | 20c | 2,559$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…9770backed Chargers | 56c | 2,508$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Chargers | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Chargers | 1c | 2,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cardinals | 48c | 2,300$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.98 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Chargers | 22c | 2,280$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Chargers | 47c | 2,181$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.48 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Chargers | 53c | 1,769$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.72 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Cardinals | 74c | 1,746$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Chargers | 52c | 1,640$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.8 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Chargers | 52c | 1,630$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Chargers | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed Chargers | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Chargers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,478$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.28 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Chargers | 53c | 1,475$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.25 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Chargers | 54c | 1,453$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.07 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chargers | 30c | 1,449$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.79 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…a0fabacked Cardinals | 48c | 1,333$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…28cfbacked Cardinals | 76c | 1,318$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Chargers | 39c | 1,285$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Cardinals | 45c | 1,164$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.54 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Chargers | 61c | 1,041$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.95 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chargers | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Chargers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chargers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 988.39$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043b…abedbacked Cardinals | 51c | 976.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chargers | 19c | 945.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…15dabacked Chargers | 52c | 942.46$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2b5bbacked Chargers | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…ccc6backed Chargers | 35c | 851.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…39e2backed Cardinals | 48c | 808.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Chargers | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Cardinals | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…5173backed Chargers | 53c | 782.79$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Chargers | 53c | 753.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Chargers | 49c | 745.86$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.93 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Cardinals | 68c | 737.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Cardinals | 49c | 727.33$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.94 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Cardinals | 48c | 692.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Chargers | 54c | 649.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Chargers | 54c | 646.5$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Cardinals | 48c | 629.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…6334backed Chargers | 55c | 603.37$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Chargers | 37c | 600.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chargers | 54c | 600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8d67backed Chargers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…38a2backed Cardinals | 49c | 561.48$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Chargers | 53c | 510.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Cardinals | 40c | 501.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cardinals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Chargers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Chargers | 43c | 475.38$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Chargers | 54c | 449.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Cardinals | 45c | 439.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.71 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Chargers | 51c | 419.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Cardinals | 48c | 419.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 414.46$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2ba9backed Cardinals | 40c | 404$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…324dbacked Chargers | 63c | 403.3$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chargers | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Cardinals | 48c | 399.91$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.