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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Troy Trojans, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Troy Trojans10c10,108$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.551,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Troy Trojans13c7,979$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.241,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles37c6,581$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles44c3,686$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.221,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Troy Trojans50c3,402$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.713,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles35c2,450$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.292,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles31c2,118$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.9512251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Troy Trojans65c1,933$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.5174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Troy Trojans69c1,895$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.626550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Troy Trojans9c1,862$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.622,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Troy Trojans66c1,861$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.82,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Troy Trojans59c1,679$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.8739742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Troy Trojans56c1,664$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.192,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Troy Trojans19c1,371$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.441,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles33c1,185$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Troy Trojans42c957.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles32c956.76$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Troy Trojans66c921$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.691,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Troy Trojans65c819.4$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.6174649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde86…d27fbacked Troy Trojans23c734.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles51c722.89$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.664,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles59c638.29$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.376457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Troy Trojans68c590$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.237142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Troy Trojans15c586$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.371,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Troy Trojans46c543.58$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles35c528.33$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Troy Trojans26c460$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.219153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles33c451$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1726740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Troy Trojans50c392$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.452,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Troy Trojans67c391.29$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c364.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.714027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles39c343.68$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4311046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles35c313.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.552540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Troy Trojans56c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05aa…aca6backed Troy Trojans60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Troy Trojans64c209$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9625246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Troy Trojans61c203.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy Trojans23c191$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.581,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Troy Trojans54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.791,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles38c177.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.320452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles28c152.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles34c147.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8610736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c141.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4313845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…5e13backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles29c138.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles59c107.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.513,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Troy Trojans39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Troy Trojans61c99.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.551,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Troy Trojans56c89.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles30c88.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Troy Trojans68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles28c88.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4525337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Troy Trojans59c84.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Troy Trojans66c82.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.911060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…14cebacked Troy Trojans27c80.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-71.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93c…475ebacked Troy Trojans66c65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.671,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…3851backed Troy Trojans62c59.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.352839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2927358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Troy Trojans68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7d…b015backed Troy Trojans63c44.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.321723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles34c44.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3513561.5%83 W · 52 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Troy Trojans62c39.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4120248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles36c38.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles33c35.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.861,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Troy Trojans68c35.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6949…3d45backed Troy Trojans47c30.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-80%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Troy Trojans68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Troy Trojans64c26.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa50…6aa7backed Troy Trojans79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9894…65debacked Troy Trojans76c23.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Troy Trojans68c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles55c18.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.352792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+41%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Troy Trojans66c15.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.435731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Troy Trojans69c14.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.