Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Troy Trojans (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfab37937b4380bc1817b7c7b595bcdc2e95d2105ad04d002837c3aa267545b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Troy Trojans, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 1,176$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Troy Trojans | 52c | 1,164$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.28 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Troy Trojans | 53c | 857$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.21 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 475.77$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Troy Trojans | 53c | 419$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 369$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 50c | 310.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Troy Trojans | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 48c | 242.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Troy Trojans | 52c | 133$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 26c | 106.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Troy Trojans | 75c | 102.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Troy Trojans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Troy Trojans | 52c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Troy Trojans | 52c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Troy Trojans | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-4.5)this page
- Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.