TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf93c…475e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6541.5%27 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.63
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.36
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$14.45
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.92
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT6250%31 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.89
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.65
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.5
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Maple Leafs vs. Bluesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+261%+$39.76
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$53.07
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.85
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.68
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$97.64
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$62.07
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$64.32
Santi Aldama: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Ohio Bobcats vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$89.22
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.6
Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$74.1
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+103.1%+$238.6
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+64.4%+$42.83
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.