MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c48725e3cdb8a881823b508fef6b8f2ff353d0661eb9e1c6bfc10e49a2132e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 30,189$11,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,787.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 27,433$15,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,681.33 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 16,366$11,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,531.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 14,401$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,417.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 12,405$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 11,231$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 10,727$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 10,343$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.32 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 9,000$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 8,927$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.74 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 8,600$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 7,804$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.31 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 7,628$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 7,020$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.42 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 6,978$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 6,067$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,754$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 5,204$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 4,944$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 4,385$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.97 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 4,314$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 4,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 3,812$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,550$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.08 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 3,491$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.88 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,421$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.88 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 3,166$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 2,745$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.84 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,626$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,138$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.04 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,946$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.7 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,613$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.45 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…5a05backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,572$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,348$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,312$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,254$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 1,239$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,233$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.47 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 1,211$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 1,116$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,072$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.41 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,060$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.11 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,029$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,020$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,000$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.21 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…5964backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 965.85$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 941.24$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 906$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 869.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 740.16$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 682.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.48 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 662.81$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 653.94$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 638.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 573.03$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 531.3$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 509.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 491.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 459.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 447$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.73 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 443.86$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 439.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 436.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 430.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 428.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 400$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 392$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 382.42$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 380.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 368.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 355.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 353.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 330.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 319.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…6badbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 284.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 273.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 271$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.