MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdbc8b784e3083913b3cc57a29f6730340618e2408c8433340f3177f165a74fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 40,360$20,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,486.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 10,834$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 5,200$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 4,592$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 3,880$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.62 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 3,455$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.37 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.22 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 2,102$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 2,014$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.63 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,997$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,727$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.33 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 1,412$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.44 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,387$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.04 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 50c | 1,183$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.86 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 67c | 999.89$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 890$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 773.36$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 699.7$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.85 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 684.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 55c | 486.78$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.05 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 56c | 383.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 381$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.31 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 50c | 361.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 45c | 269.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 238.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 63c | 232.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 51c | 207.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 49c | 197.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 166.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 49c | 149.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 51c | 134.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 25c | 133.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 103.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 100.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 99.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 76.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 51c | 72.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 70.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 19c | 54.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…451bbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 50c | 48.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 44.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 71c | 41.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 40.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 49c | 38.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 51c | 37.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…352ebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 48c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93c…475ebacked Over | 51c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 49c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…c290backed Under | 44c | 25.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 48c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 51c | 21.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Over | 50c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…e562backed Over | 55c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.