TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e70…9a38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.81
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$24.88
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$70.74
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$67.81
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.7
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49%+$96.44
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$68.69
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.36
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$128.18
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.04
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boissonbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.32
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$253.98
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$118.69
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.83
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$107.2
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$107.1
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$137.84
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.12
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabherbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.11
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$74.15
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,410.33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+111.4%+$1,379.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$166.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$76.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.