Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb182433b25dad3f7e2ededd0db796a97252bd445e10ddba823d364d07b2b290a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 8,009$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 54c | 3,604$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 16c | 3,487$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 3,121$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 61c | 2,228$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.06 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 1,750$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 69c | 1,666$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.54 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,512$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 6c | 1,024$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.77 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 890.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.75 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 31c | 715.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 21c | 714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 49c | 383.55$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 373.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.62 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 365.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.36 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 362.94$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 70c | 332.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 54c | 325$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 77c | 260.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 69c | 224.88$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 44c | 201.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 23c | 159.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…c87fbacked No | 14c | 158.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 154.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 11c | 151.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 71c | 137.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed No | 12c | 116.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…5c5fbacked Yes | 23c | 114.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 33c | 99.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed No | 79c | 96.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 51c | 94.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 80.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 44c | 77.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…56b4backed Yes | 77c | 76.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 19c | 58.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 55c | 52.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Yes | 23c | 47.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 35c | 45.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 65c | 38.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 53c | 33.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 78c | 14.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…806dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.