Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c3fac64eefa26001ceb137ea26d88f22227a02bf3aee8deec9851488c52ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 6,362$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 31c | 3,003$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.78 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 1,255$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.05 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 79c | 868.47$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 702.92$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.05 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 22c | 681$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.18 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 52c | 651.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 620.6$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 508$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 36c | 409.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 73c | 387$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 348.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 286.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 256.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 40c | 148.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 18c | 135.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 131.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 124.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 103.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 98.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…96bfbacked Yes | 64c | 94.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 25c | 65.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 55c | 54.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 49.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 41c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 42c | 24.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 70c | 22.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Yes | 77c | 17.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…20e6backed Yes | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.