TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xef17…96bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Brøndby IF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$326.76
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.8
Will FC Arouca vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$39.6
Will Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$72.77
Will Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$98.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$3.88
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Targu Mures: Radu Albot vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.86
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$9.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$11.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.1
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$162.24
Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$20.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$29.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.