Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59289d79d185170f554b3b9bc9c0d852928f3c2bf58940695437b18d1f9eb65c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,800 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,850 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 11,913$9,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258.82 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 10,110$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,076.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 7,194$5,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.89 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 21c | 6,071$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.43 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 3,879$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.79 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 3,801$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.3 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,150$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 2,952$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.37 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 18c | 2,891$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.99 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 2,525$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 2,346$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.84 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 17c | 1,945$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 80c | 1,818$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.4 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed No | 80c | 1,732$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,509$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.46 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,318$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.61 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 1,136$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.9 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 738.96$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 634.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 21c | 559.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 18c | 538.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.87 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 33c | 528.36$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 78c | 467$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 79c | 440$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 31c | 394.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 24c | 354.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 352$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 36c | 287$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +6.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 278.35$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 18c | 260$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…1938backed No | 78c | 254.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 25c | 247.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 239.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 23c | 229.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 227.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 20c | 217.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes | 24c | 216.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…0c70backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 189.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 79c | 180.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 79c | 170.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 75c | 169.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 28c | 161.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes | 19c | 146.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 137.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 74c | 130.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 121.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…acccbacked Yes | 25c | 117$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 74c | 115.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…96bfbacked Yes | 77c | 113.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…e8e8backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…4575backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 22c | 97.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 23c | 93.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 20c | 85.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 44c | 84.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 80.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 17c | 72.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 71.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 71.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 67.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 67.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Yes | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 20c | 59.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +237.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 24c | 58.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa338…d810backed No | 76c | 54.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 76c | 54.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 53.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 23c | 52.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 26c | 50.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.