TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x551c…fe91backed No42c3,143$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.8613350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No77c3,098$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.985459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c2,364$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c2,209$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.711,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes53c1,473$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.871637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes18c1,300$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c1,118$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c1,102$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.853748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No73c1,035$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f78…1141backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-77.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No47c831.6$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.1422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8836…c2febacked No72c690$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No65c648$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.383141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No48c603$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.562268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+63.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes33c447.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No69c388.13$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9222545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No42c378.57$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+61.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Yes38c365.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c317.05$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7322743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0311667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes25c274.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ee…0d15backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c225.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8130828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c205.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c198.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c180$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.320749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a33…4575backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+84.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No67c155$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9211547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No71c154.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0411053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes23c153.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c151.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c146.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes43c139.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No76c128.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9612153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c122.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked No79c121.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes21c121.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.584845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb15c…604abacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No76c111.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2815946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c103.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8512044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes31c102.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.441241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.336950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes25c102.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.581741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed No76c98.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No66c80.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.016544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes34c73.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.211360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0175…7da9backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No43c66.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.787964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ab3…f88ebacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No62c64.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9521748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes21c61.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No78c60.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c60.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes24c60.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.682321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Yes37c54.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c53.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6326241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No44c52.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.534452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c46.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.745955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No79c45.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.787762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes45c44.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No71c43.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.582965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes35c42.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No77c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.434669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb73…77c8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes53c38.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c37.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed No79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No70c35.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.721080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed No53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.457100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No64c33.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.955244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No69c32.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No65c31.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No64c28.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No66c27.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.