TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$571,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$674,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes56c229,062$128,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,274.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No50c108,705$54,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,858.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No44c79,582$35,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,572.636347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c35,596$17,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,219.321,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes43c27,396$11,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,654.5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2005431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No50c19,453$9,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,644.421040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No44c14,671$6,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,215.763345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No44c11,663$5,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,531.282339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes51c9,608$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,875.1432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No44c8,040$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No44c6,400$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5846165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No44c6,093$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.182240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes55c5,047$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.098743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes41c4,917$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes48c4,876$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.4649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No44c4,800$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6884971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes50c4,660$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.293748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c3,832$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c3,187$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.662,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes46c3,138$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.2130828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No44c2,949$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.411190.9%10 W · 1 L+6.1wins+0.56per pick35cpaid+161.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes50c2,892$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No44c2,800$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5686365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c2,619$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.5268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No44c2,400$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3445862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c2,389$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.7827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No44c2,368$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.085151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c2,279$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.9933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1204170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No44c1,840$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.42378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes48c1,796$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.036155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c1,723$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.6741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8966369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8966170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes45c1,561$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.034339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c1,507$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes54c1,482$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes40c1,450$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No44c1,359$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.511838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No44c1,255$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.357358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27629862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6725666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No44c1,154$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.423167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No44c1,149$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.337945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No76c1,053$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.635076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No44c1,040$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.46465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No44c1,040$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.46070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No77c1,039$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.965271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No49c1,011$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.12240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5608360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Yes56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes54c937.91$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No77c823$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.138169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c817.68$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No76c799.34$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4512351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No77c746.5$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.192466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No44c712$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.723452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No76c653.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.623177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+92.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No44c640$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.45367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No44c625.63$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0113839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No44c624$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.446167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No44c624$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.445867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes38c587.6$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2112044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No44c560$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.65168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c542.86$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No44c539.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9736456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No76c535.13$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.439661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c512.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Yes48c504$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.923243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+97.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.991450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes42c498.35$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.735244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes41c495.31$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No69c487.62$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Yes57c485.3$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes47c473$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.318232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes56c471.15$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5412153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes44c455.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2244472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes48c367.59$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.445058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes41c355.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.715955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes50c309.86$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16815357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Yes36c291.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-83.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49b1…fd38backed No55c288.08$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.