Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478a186bf42656302276579be625b77d67323c8e26a71d10e8bca28c31e4b840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,293$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 73c | 1,785$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.91 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 1,624$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 64c | 1,333$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.35 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 1,122$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 974$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 58c | 886.67$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 402.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0797…48fdbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 74c | 338$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 267.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 60c | 165.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 165.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Yes | 24c | 144.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 142$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 141.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Yes | 43c | 129.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 118.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 34c | 109.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…96bfbacked Yes | 43c | 89.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 27c | 87.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 59c | 76.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 37c | 66.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 64.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 71c | 62.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 25c | 52.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 50.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 46.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 22c | 46.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 57c | 46.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 43.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…de4abacked Yes | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked No | 53c | 32.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 56c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 25.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 24.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 18.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 66c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.