Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b0decb87f3e6bd0603eeac680f118580315702f0baafc4f8cd862037152d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,150$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 6c | 800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 5c | 408.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 360.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 355.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 322.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 12c | 247$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 16c | 183.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Yes | 14c | 88.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 15c | 69.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.