Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6257ac3bdd0b512bd6470c21d5dc99ed12ef42b5fd9ad6078fad24d351ebda5c

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,596,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,322,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,596,429 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No	78c	368,022$285,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,269.84	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	78c	149,806$117,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,322.04	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	79c	146,381$115,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,411.39	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	24c	134,089$32,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,454.83	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	19c	130,944$24,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,817.88	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes	21c	108,491$22,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,546.6	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	24c	107,228$25,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,698.61	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c68…247abacked Yes	31c	96,710$30,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,330.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	79c	83,947$66,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,497.84	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No	78c	72,653$56,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,271.69	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	18c	63,385$11,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,494.1	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes	20c	62,715$12,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,542.96	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	79c	60,441$47,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,591.56	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	20c	53,920$10,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,905.05	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	62c	50,729$31,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,500.09	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No	78c	48,467$37,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,547.63	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes	50c	40,026$20,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,010.82	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes	15c	38,652$5,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,813.62	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No	56c	32,237$18,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,159.46	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	73c	29,807$21,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,991.85	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	21c	26,474$5,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,566.84	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes	47c	25,487$11,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,854.8	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes	40c	24,813$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	17c	24,572$4,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,268.33	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	75c	24,282$18,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,179.16	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes	15c	24,116$3,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,567.57	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No	79c	23,441$18,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,883.62	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes	21c	20,085$4,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,298.27	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes	22c	18,605$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes	22c	18,100$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes	26c	17,639$4,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,566.44	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes	20c	17,200$3,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,453.57	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	17c	16,519$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,873.67	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	22c	15,751$3,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,489.63	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes	18c	15,094$2,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,762.2	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes	49c	15,000$7,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,424.01	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No	80c	14,748$11,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,005.26	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	18c	14,007$2,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,521.23	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	22c	13,703$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	76c	13,659$10,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,249.7	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes	15c	13,024$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,908.09	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes	15c	12,705$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.99	150	40%60 W · 90 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	67c	12,000$8,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,950	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	80c	10,840$8,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,168.84	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes	18c	10,798$1,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,975	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes	13c	10,732$1,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.01	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	24c	10,462$2,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,545.75	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes	9c	10,308$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.43	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked No	78c	9,629$7,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120.17	188	51.1%96 W · 92 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes	22c	9,177$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.08	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes	36c	9,138$3,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,281	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	0c	9,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No	68c	8,308$5,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,663.19	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No	76c	8,236$6,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,964.75	141	32.6%46 W · 95 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadbd…93dcbacked Yes	18c	8,092$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.75	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	19c	7,984$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.91	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Yes	17c	7,880$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324.05	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes	19c	7,857$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.45	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes	20c	7,605$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.79	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No	71c	7,533$5,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,188.12	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes	31c	7,308$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	109	32.1%35 W · 74 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Yes	13c	7,247$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	22c	7,207$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.39	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No	80c	7,066$5,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.21	244	43%105 W · 139 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No	75c	6,616$4,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,631.07	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	+8.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	29c	6,586$1,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,884.42	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes	14c	6,582$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.99	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes	8c	6,394$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.36	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	23c	6,231$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,433.21	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No	80c	6,200$4,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.89	188	43.6%82 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes	50c	6,000$3,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,023.97	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+7.1wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No	80c	5,909$4,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.44	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes	36c	5,894$2,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,137.71	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa811…8717backed Yes	19c	5,879$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,143.27	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	32cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes	26c	5,792$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	71c	5,650$4,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.51	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe37c…ef29backed Yes	30c	5,649$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.57	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	32c	5,635$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-6.6wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	80c	5,500$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes	17c	5,470$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.68	326	39%127 W · 199 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	23c	5,376$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.05	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No	78c	5,346$4,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170.77	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes	17c	5,344$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.56	363	35.8%130 W · 233 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	78c	5,319$4,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.51	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No	57c	5,286$3,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,254.29	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Yes	18c	5,198$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.23	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes	20c	5,051$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Yes	9c	5,022$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.68	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f8…b9f2backed Yes	22c	5,000$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes	29c	4,935$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.21	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Yes	32c	4,909$1,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.92	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No	79c	4,800$3,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.6	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	77c	4,696$3,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.33	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	14c	4,634$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.9	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes	30c	4,631$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,403.85	106	24.5%26 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Yes	19c	4,565$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	166	37.3%62 W · 104 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	23c	4,492$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.35	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?this page
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Yes won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event