Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe071491383995e02ebf6f0a98cfef5d102c79953b9b82c8e2cae33908154d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,500,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,870,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,500,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,083 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 63c | 4,231,275$2,660,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571,189.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 37c | 1,218,206$451,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451,527.37 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 37c | 480,100$177,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,636.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 37c | 450,000$167,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,000 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 37c | 287,611$106,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,416.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 239,788$144,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,255.74 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 37c | 237,220$87,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,649.31 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 221,687$66,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,086.48 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 37c | 170,400$63,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,048 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 37c | 161,244$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 63c | 160,561$100,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,031.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 37c | 160,000$59,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 140,532$53,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,001.13 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 140,408$52,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,270.53 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 37c | 135,240$50,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,038.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 120,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 29c | 81,712$24,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,029.1 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 81,220$30,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,701.22 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 37c | 80,000$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 77c | 77,560$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,560.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 33c | 60,307$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 38c | 56,350$21,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,175.48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 47,582$15,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,996.67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 37c | 47,019$17,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,577.7 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 12c | 38,032$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.14 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 23c | 36,400$8,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,371.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 31,366$12,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,324.38 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 38c | 29,991$11,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,348.97 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 37c | 27,098$10,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,026.26 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 37c | 26,320$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,738.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 25,704$9,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,915.97 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Yes | 60c | 19,215$11,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 38c | 18,868$7,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.81 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 54c | 18,801$10,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,216.46 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 37c | 18,776$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 37c | 18,650$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 37c | 17,710$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 77c | 17,541$13,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.47 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…0e18backed Yes | 64c | 17,198$10,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,232.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 41c | 16,347$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,701.3 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 37c | 16,000$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 15,765$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.81 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 37c | 15,390$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 37c | 15,340$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,675.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 65c | 14,994$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.05 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 62c | 14,325$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425.49 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 14c | 14,174$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.62 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked No | 37c | 14,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 12,583$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.33 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 48c | 12,135$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,797.11 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 67c | 11,826$7,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.07 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 37c | 11,305$4,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 78c | 11,217$8,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.69 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 30c | 11,113$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.3 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe908…c1fdbacked Yes | 59c | 10,013$5,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…9f80backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No | 37c | 9,690$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 70c | 9,448$6,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.16 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 62c | 8,971$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.01 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed No | 40c | 8,545$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Yes | 61c | 8,300$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 27c | 8,268$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.96 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 26c | 8,213$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.05 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 37c | 8,109$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed No | 37c | 8,004$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 7,836$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.33 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 7,826$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.15 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 59c | 6,699$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.61 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 40c | 6,400$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 79c | 6,301$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.59 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed No | 37c | 6,209$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 40c | 6,052$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.69 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 66c | 6,038$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.51 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.95 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.95 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 38c | 5,965$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.49 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 5,855$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.37 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 34c | 5,797$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 5,665$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.68 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…ac9ebacked No | 37c | 5,636$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 28c | 5,411$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.49 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…8aeebacked Yes | 79c | 5,280$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 9c | 5,230$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.97 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 38c | 5,195$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.72 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6108…4cb5backed Yes | 59c | 5,055$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…296abacked No | 41c | 5,013$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 37c | 4,925$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 46c | 4,894$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.64 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…0c2bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,860$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…b9f0backed No | 41c | 4,830$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 37c | 4,809$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 25c | 4,800$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 37c | 4,679$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.