Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f5e43616a8ab13fdaa6a0358bca71f1dd871771fb4bd2d056587a287241a2a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 11c | 39,680$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.19 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 78c | 24,440$19,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.8 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 22,180$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.6 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 17c | 19,424$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 13,454$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 9,209$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.93 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 16c | 7,692$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed No | 78c | 7,200$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 18c | 6,387$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 24c | 6,355$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 15c | 5,945$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.35 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 78c | 5,100$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 15c | 4,909$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.21 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 4,687$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.05 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 4,609$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 12c | 3,053$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,925$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 19c | 2,906$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,794$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.72 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 21c | 2,343$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.05 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 78c | 1,976$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 1,930$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.61 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 12c | 1,729$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 1,360$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 78c | 1,320$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…6d99backed Yes | 15c | 1,318$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,312$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.65 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 79c | 1,270$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 1,244$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.62 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,200$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…0d2abacked Yes | 22c | 1,199$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,162$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.26 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…4c2dbacked No | 76c | 1,150$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 78c | 1,129$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked No | 78c | 1,016$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 18c | 995.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 946.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 16c | 898.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 78c | 871.79$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 78c | 824.59$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 632.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 20c | 596.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 77c | 551.04$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 16c | 491.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes | 23c | 478.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 477.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 21c | 466.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…be87backed No | 70c | 460$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 15c | 434.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…092bbacked Yes | 12c | 422.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 22c | 415.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 10c | 384$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…49e0backed Yes | 34c | 324.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 15c | 309.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 305.86$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 36c | 279.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Yes | 22c | 263.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 14c | 246.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 12c | 236.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 14c | 205.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 77c | 199.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 15c | 190.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 175.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 169.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 17c | 164.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 13c | 155.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 13c | 153.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 77c | 149.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…06dbbacked Yes | 17c | 147.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 78c | 139.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 22c | 129.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…fa1cbacked No | 78c | 123.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…a209backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 19c | 105.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 101.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.