TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,170,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,337,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,170,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,002 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed No58c1,825,926$1,054,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054,936.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes42c868,986$367,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,691.913353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes42c200,591$84,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,342.841942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes43c150,999$64,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,819.4324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes42c115,487$48,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,982.451650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes43c106,181$45,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,522.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes42c56,540$23,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,793.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes43c52,533$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,033.229746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes48c52,000$25,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,9203548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes65c45,710$29,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,806.525848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes42c43,131$18,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,015.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.9631947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No52c34,027$17,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,678.221435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No57c33,695$19,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,302.429061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes42c31,983$13,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,550.145455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes48c26,000$12,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,559.982657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes43c24,212$10,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,800.821376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No57c24,103$13,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,738.6811349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c23,189$10,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,067.062,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes66c22,675$14,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,772.13855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c22,081$9,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,806.692,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.972437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe908…c1fdbacked No58c19,206$11,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,138.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No57c19,072$10,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,936.359347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No35c17,942$6,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,306.4818453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c17,682$11,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,244.046,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed No49c17,323$8,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,488.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Yes73c15,446$11,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.851770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c13,941$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,157.9456241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c13,869$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.521,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes42c13,775$5,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,934.0791435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c13,439$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.934,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c13,264$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,300.917951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes42c13,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,54016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c12,966$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,458.9685748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No14c12,550$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.831,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c12,243$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,392.3719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcca…436bbacked Yes46c10,459$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,647.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c9,679$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.3926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes50c9,198$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.761540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No36c9,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.0720140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No54c8,919$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes43c8,500$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,84517745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No41c8,431$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.7756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No49c7,527$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.422548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No49c7,355$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,603.951747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes43c7,002$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.041353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No53c7,000$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,06013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed No55c6,825$3,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.572050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Yes49c6,566$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes49c6,454$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.3559847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No51c6,020$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.553745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.949055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No53c5,500$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.9710951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.785442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No16c5,358$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.3715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No17c5,132$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.91742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes47c5,131$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.432245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c5,063$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.797648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x708b…7c3bbacked Yes70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes43c5,000$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8755242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes69c4,970$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.7514658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No57c4,883$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.22934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Yes42c4,880$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Yes42c4,696$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.688259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes47c4,601$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.5610144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.9616050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes72c4,453$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.1219652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc935…4c02backed Yes46c4,361$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447f…f362backed Yes76c4,359$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f4…78e7backed No51c4,314$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes42c4,234$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.4418958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes71c4,050$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.7359332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No53c3,884$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.4413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes47c3,830$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.792055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No49c3,596$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.166660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes66c3,589$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.8822744.1%100 W · 127 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No20c3,571$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes70c3,538$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.592737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0855139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No53c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.966448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Yes43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb462…d158backed Yes46c3,400$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes51c3,346$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No49c3,300$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No35c3,296$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.0874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked No27c3,100$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8371741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No22c3,100$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.985335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No56c3,036$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-80.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes58c2,862$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.997044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No52c2,800$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c2,699$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.5190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.