TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d63…2e49backed No72c32,520$23,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,108.775251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes30c32,129$9,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,656.195356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7469…cbc5backed Yes23c20,109$4,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.381145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No74c19,770$14,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,221.337851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c19,108$5,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,349.12,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c19,034$5,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,366.1719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes28c18,904$5,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,349.1640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c17,711$13,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.466,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No71c12,620$8,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.4418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c12,099$8,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.3988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No73c8,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9725544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes21c7,379$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5502339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes5c5,200$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.024240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c5,031$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.8355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c4,883$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.9856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c4,483$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.181,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c4,431$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.361,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes17c3,276$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes28c3,200$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625d…c6a1backed Yes20c2,900$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.42560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c2,818$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.2285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8f…f631backed No72c2,759$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No69c2,725$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.752875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No73c2,599$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.86660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c2,583$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.4990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes26c2,564$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.672326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c2,543$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.159445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No72c2,368$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.019254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No74c2,180$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.8611449.1%56 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c2,030$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No72c1,840$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.27361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes22c1,714$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37722125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes12c1,709$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c1,682$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes29c1,642$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.284365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x893b…b1b4backed Yes15c1,543$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60f…04e3backed No75c1,528$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c1,206$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No71c1,134$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.7917339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No76c1,105$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4614463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes20c1,101$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20923632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Yes5c991.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No71c985$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes28c904.24$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.415032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c810.78$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.321,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Yes26c742.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+115.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c676.92$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No74c668.92$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.923161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes24c666$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes28c662.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes23c658.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No77c635.43$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-43.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes18c620$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.62045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes21c565.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+72%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No73c520.69$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3814654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c518.75$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea9…5e86backed Yes27c472.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c451.35$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c428$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5713721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No72c423.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…03b4backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaee…c167backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Yes26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed No73c377$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes20c375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x654a…c304backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes19c370$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes18c361.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c359.64$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8680953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes23c359.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.686939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes15c349.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c341.1$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed No72c339.82$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.156944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes27c335.28$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.533053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+59.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Yes18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+152.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes21c324.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No71c318.51$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.645637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c303.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.018831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No74c300.1$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.039345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No74c299.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9913554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes17c277.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c269$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.328666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.