Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe43a9bc6e8b8b0959647df862918df500bc50d8f5f5f71bb45e513deee69162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 4,910$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 73c | 4,800$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.18 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 62c | 4,365$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.73 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 3,449$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 2,336$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.6 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 2,148$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.2 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 1,838$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.97 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 865.42$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 631.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 475.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 39c | 374.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 372.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 363.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 64c | 311.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 21c | 305.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 34c | 276.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 36c | 214.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 71c | 204.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 50c | 199.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 50c | 189.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…da4bbacked Yes | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…021abacked Yes | 63c | 157.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes | 61c | 125.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 61c | 94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 89.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 88.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 39c | 81.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 48c | 78.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c367backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 57c | 75.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 67c | 60.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 60c | 51.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed Yes | 64c | 46.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 46c | 40.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…96bfbacked Yes | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 43c | 35.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 36c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 29c | 34.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed No | 42c | 34.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 44c | 33.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 51c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 80c | 26.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5f8ebacked Yes | 74c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 49c | 25.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…67a5backed No | 48c | 22.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 46c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 76c | 22.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…55aebacked Yes | 64c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.