Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d5b843b5d97b17bb2adb0837f2e0d6a0e9d6e00fa7982531d600f487b2867b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,641$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 1,636$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.91 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 1,535$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,416$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 79c | 919.99$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 807.46$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 544.97$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 28c | 473.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 30c | 357.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 324.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 20c | 272.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 38c | 264.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 255.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 74c | 253.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 153.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 140.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 19c | 128.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 94.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 80c | 63.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 57.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 76c | 36.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 80c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 77c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.