Asian League · resolved market
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e12258ba19a0c24d21383337bc8a241e12df37776fbf62addc049c02a6703d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 25,000$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,926.78 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 71c | 11,776$8,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 9,034$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed No | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 4,551$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 39c | 2,115$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 2,030$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked No | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 1,474$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 40c | 1,170$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.71 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,003$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 30c | 999.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 74c | 886.34$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 33c | 711.74$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 52c | 543.65$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 26c | 504.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…3980backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 77c | 413.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 40c | 280.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 24c | 266.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 76c | 239.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 21c | 209.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 30c | 201.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…96bfbacked Yes | 77c | 155.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…c457backed Yes | 66c | 152.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 13c | 148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 41c | 146.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 141.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 62c | 141.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 74c | 135.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 65c | 133.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 132.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked No | 30c | 129.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 56c | 111.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 105.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 24c | 102.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 100.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 30c | 99.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 30c | 99.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 59c | 96.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 91.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 70c | 82.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 21c | 76.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 57c | 75.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 77c | 59.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 70c | 54.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 53.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 30c | 49.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 30c | 49.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 30c | 49.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 60c | 48.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 70c | 47.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 69c | 45.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 44.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 39c | 42.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 39.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 40c | 39.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Yes | 70c | 37.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Yes | 72c | 34.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aed…feacbacked Yes | 74c | 33.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 79c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 74c | 30.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 38c | 30.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8ac3backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Yes | 71c | 22.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 66c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 70c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 72c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…4020backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?No won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.