Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e714a1fb1b195bfb720f4675fb438a98d99b59acae82b5cb367c2218bb612cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Kansas State Wildcats, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 63c | 9,446$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.12 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 5,673$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.21 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 3,955$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 2,017$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 1,870$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 1,536$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.52 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 28c | 1,274$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 1,255$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 41c | 1,153$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 58c | 997.63$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas State Wildcats | 48c | 933$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 48c | 885.06$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 2c | 836.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 40c | 763.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.89 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas State Wildcats | 60c | 745.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas State Wildcats | 74c | 710.06$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.91 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 701$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 699.28$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.28 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 70c | 620.07$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.84 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Kansas State Wildcats | 61c | 577.57$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed TCU Horned Frogs | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 44c | 429.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.82 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 57c | 418.26$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 370.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 53c | 351.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas State Wildcats | 49c | 341.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kansas State Wildcats | 68c | 335.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 330.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Kansas State Wildcats | 50c | 268.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 39c | 238.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Kansas State Wildcats | 43c | 231.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Kansas State Wildcats | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce1…af41backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 193.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 192.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TCU Horned Frogs | 71c | 189.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 176.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 158.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 43c | 157.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 51c | 149.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 146.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 128$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…1ec3backed Kansas State Wildcats | 80c | 124.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 105.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 90.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 43c | 78.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Kansas State Wildcats | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 70c | 57.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU Horned Frogs | 55c | 55.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 52.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Kansas State Wildcats | 66c | 46.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed TCU Horned Frogs | 57c | 43.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 41c | 36.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 49c | 36.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed Kansas State Wildcats | 64c | 32.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 48c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kansas State Wildcats | 62c | 18.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.