Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a6ad38c5a9430513c69c7c8938f0f37f6870fb43f0ba93fdbd196ca68ebdfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 60,943$13,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,419.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 26c | 42,810$11,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,098.31 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 26,310$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.15 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 74c | 21,808$16,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.27 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 25c | 20,909$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.35 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 75c | 18,555$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.85 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 74c | 16,741$12,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 12,910$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.2 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 37c | 11,994$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,523.01 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 26c | 9,939$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.16 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 21c | 9,819$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.19 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 25c | 9,018$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 27c | 8,614$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 7,157$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 24c | 6,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 24c | 6,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 60c | 5,803$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 73c | 5,104$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.13 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 25c | 5,016$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.77 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 4,926$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 26c | 4,121$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.33 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 26c | 4,020$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 24c | 4,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 25c | 3,600$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Yes | 69c | 3,475$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 68c | 3,202$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.61 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 80c | 2,792$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.04 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 74c | 2,692$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.35 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 30c | 2,335$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 2,302$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.17 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,942$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.13 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 74c | 1,486$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 22c | 1,442$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 72c | 1,385$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 25c | 1,337$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.01 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 5c | 1,328$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked Yes | 73c | 1,287$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 15c | 1,278$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,215$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.04 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 1,108$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 65c | 1,095$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 25c | 1,075$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 1,020$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…8390backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 26c | 996.92$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 23c | 990.06$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Yes | 73c | 946.66$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 24c | 934.45$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 75c | 922.48$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…e797backed No | 25c | 868$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 75c | 844.58$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 77c | 801.3$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…9e25backed Yes | 63c | 784.54$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 63c | 770$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…05adbacked Yes | 67c | 748.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 74c | 716.22$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 26c | 698$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 25c | 685$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 77c | 648.73$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 58c | 587.94$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 24c | 579.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…e2a2backed No | 25c | 567$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 74c | 544.13$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 76c | 530$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 40c | 505.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.11 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Yes | 74c | 467.57$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 77c | 453.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 74c | 407.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6355…9b32backed No | 26c | 406.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…afaebacked Yes | 76c | 384$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 37c | 380$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 75c | 373.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 26c | 368.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 28c | 365.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.