Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bbb55d9a2269cde232d24770c07c883c4d8c3dc3fa7509f67a7c3e910825f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,471,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,588,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,471,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 901 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7ca…5e21backed No | 42c | 1,191,322$499,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499,990.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 58c | 334,078$192,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,272.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 40c | 268,928$107,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,954.59 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 253,772$147,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,049.54 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 238,216$141,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,637.06 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 149,308$93,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,187.83 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 117,835$72,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,271.15 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 58c | 66,500$38,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,745 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 58c | 59,919$34,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,404.64 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 50,000$29,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,550 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 59c | 50,000$29,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,650 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 38c | 48,000$18,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,029.82 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 47,580$17,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,288.68 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 40c | 46,008$18,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,403.14 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 30,989$18,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,624.8 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 59c | 25,424$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,423.73 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 59c | 22,478$13,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,144.35 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 60c | 20,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 20,000$12,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206.48 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 64c | 19,511$12,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,024.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 40c | 17,862$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 15,627$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 12,239$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.8 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 11,650$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.96 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Yes | 58c | 11,000$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Yes | 64c | 10,950$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 38c | 10,069$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.73 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 8,641$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.62 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 60c | 8,570$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.83 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 58c | 8,405$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 62c | 8,000$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 66c | 7,631$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 59c | 7,244$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.95 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 7,018$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.71 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 36c | 6,100$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.94 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 38c | 6,000$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 59c | 5,995$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 5,409$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.49 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 58c | 5,168$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 58c | 5,093$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.21 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 55c | 4,738$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.47 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 4,729$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.65 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 64c | 4,685$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 37c | 4,027$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 46c | 3,828$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 55c | 3,787$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 36c | 3,700$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.98 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 60c | 3,626$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.99 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 55c | 3,499$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 65c | 3,462$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.54 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 36c | 3,408$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.79 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 58c | 3,400$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +197%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 24c | 3,155$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 40c | 2,536$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,500$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 42c | 2,455$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.17 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 8c | 2,312$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 19c | 2,180$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.62 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 64c | 2,173$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.27 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,059$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 80c | 2,016$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,995$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.17 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 1,960$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.87 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 58c | 1,760$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.37 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,600$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 59c | 1,562$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.36 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 69c | 1,459$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.05 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 1,433$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.67 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 54c | 1,388$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.13 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 36c | 1,338$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.54 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 59c | 1,308$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 60c | 1,283$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.19 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,252$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 64c | 1,212$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 63c | 1,200$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 37c | 1,020$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.9 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.