MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x214b692e6bb49c24a6318f7b2413dee436ed6c51f0b28f07d7a099544c2da2fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 19,765$11,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,103.81 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 17,844$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.04 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 15,725$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,290 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 9,446$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 8,047$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 7,490$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 3,750$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.61 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 3,620$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.73 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 3,415$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,505$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,322$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,120$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,075$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 1,733$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,553$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.32 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 1,438$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.32 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…c68abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,120$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 1,088$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,083$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.13 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,035$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,009$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.52 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…f467backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 939.38$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.37 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 854.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…95b2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 809.47$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 654.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 595.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 549.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 3c | 549.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 544.65$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 540.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 505.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 487.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 479.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 466.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 459.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 438.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 406.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 393.28$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…c9d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 364.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…4911backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 355.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 354.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 348.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 323.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 312.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 307$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 299.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 295.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 295.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 250.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 241.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 208$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 207.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8721…c2b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 202.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e093backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 179.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 80c | 174.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…7e00backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…a6f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.