La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738eec68941256b445c53ba2d043e1baab71f94648ec9d8d4814499f9462b48e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,432,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,735,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.98 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 83,516$14,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,376.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 15c | 58,961$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.2 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 16c | 35,800$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 16c | 35,730$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 16c | 35,118$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 23,496$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.6 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 16c | 20,857$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.06 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 5c | 20,164$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 15c | 15,099$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.83 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 15c | 12,683$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.45 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 15c | 12,223$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.5 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 15c | 11,019$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.83 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.95 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 9,142$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.25 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 15c | 7,763$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.04 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…442abacked Yes | 71c | 7,725$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 16c | 6,175$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 13c | 5,361$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.8 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 29c | 5,297$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 15c | 5,071$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.19 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 15c | 5,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 16c | 4,470$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked No | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 15c | 4,358$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…ba7ebacked No | 16c | 3,670$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 15c | 3,660$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.99 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 70c | 3,573$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 16c | 3,539$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.21 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 15c | 3,264$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 14c | 3,071$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cf…b37cbacked No | 16c | 3,044$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 16c | 2,900$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 70c | 2,862$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc072…9820backed No | 16c | 2,644$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…ecc3backed No | 16c | 2,636$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 15c | 2,402$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.91 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 16c | 2,400$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 2,302$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.22 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 15c | 2,194$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 2,080$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 15c | 1,994$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.33 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,526$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 15c | 1,512$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…8accbacked Yes | 73c | 1,463$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…e2a2backed No | 17c | 1,422$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 71c | 1,364$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed No | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 71c | 1,144$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…1bf3backed No | 15c | 1,121$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…e266backed Yes | 70c | 1,110$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 8c | 1,100$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 16c | 949.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 906$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…441dbacked No | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…4c71backed No | 14c | 854.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 16c | 839.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 14c | 800$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 15c | 786.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…e797backed No | 17c | 782.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 77c | 750$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes | 79c | 740.51$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 71c | 706.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 15c | 702$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 14c | 670.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…e23bbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 17c | 634.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 631.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420a…dd55backed No | 2c | 630.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 30c | 599.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…03ebbacked No | 13c | 571.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 14c | 544.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.