La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6420ed6e9e10fa001cd0a6c7d0ba93c241eee680851041c80c914e59cdda32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 9c | 36,711$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.91 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…21cbbacked Yes | 6c | 22,591$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 5c | 10,441$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.06 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 8,012$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 6c | 7,026$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 5,733$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.52 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 1c | 5,013$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,738$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420a…dd55backed Yes | 7c | 2,419$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a80ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,020$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 4c | 1,733$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,691$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 4c | 1,641$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 1,338$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…d550backed Yes | 10c | 1,297$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 5c | 1,191$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…4f7dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…f8e9backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 1c | 967.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 6c | 884.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 844.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 6c | 840$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 5c | 800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 6c | 730$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…b52ebacked Yes | 9c | 680.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 6c | 595.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 9c | 588.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a18…5ea4backed Yes | 6c | 572.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 6c | 520.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ef…56b5backed Yes | 9c | 485.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Yes | 6c | 468.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 7c | 465.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0c27backed Yes | 11c | 445.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 6c | 433.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes | 3c | 433.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 6c | 363.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…ce88backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 6c | 317.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…cb90backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Yes | 9c | 273.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…14f9backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…93f5backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 6c | 178.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 8c | 165.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Yes | 10c | 129.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…1723backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.