La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5241119138fbccde8af7d90aa0ed0b31157fd6cae39b4e72ae2782f53f553225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 24c | 4,160$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,031$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.28 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 11c | 3,510$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 2,547$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.37 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…8990backed Yes | 8c | 1,266$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…f8e9backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 10c | 632.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 625$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 10c | 609.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 535.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 10c | 505$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 350.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 20c | 342$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 10c | 321.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4355backed Yes | 10c | 304.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…677abacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8b…125cbacked Yes | 11c | 290.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 10c | 237.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 220.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Yes | 25c | 176.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 156$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 18c | 136.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 10c | 125.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes | 11c | 119.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Yes | 13c | 111.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 10c | 110.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…efc7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd921…b2d5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0748backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Yes | 22c | 91.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…2625backed Yes | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1277…6ba0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…67f6backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 18c | 62.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…8dbbbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Yes | 22c | 59.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…b3dabacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8197…6117backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.