TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab0a…36b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+89.7%+$35.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+157.3%+$29.34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 76°F or higher on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+32.8%+$9.88
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.8%+$19.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+99.6%+$39.92
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.91
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+90.3%+$14.22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+30.7%+$9.38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$23.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+733.3%+$101.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$92.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93.93
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$78.1
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+696.7%+$594.36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$73.32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.43
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53.97
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.38
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+619.3%+$397.77
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$74.76
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$68.78
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+245.6%+$35.53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+84.3%+$9.15
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+55.6%+$7.15
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+76.2%+$8.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick60cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+43.4%+$8.69
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Charlotte 49ers vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Portland Pilots vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+94%+$18.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$31.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.