Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea0f617bdce3b71d67cdddd440296c02bce98c6db76f485c7c05669260291e0f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 19, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,272,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $688,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,272,384 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	35,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	27,235$1,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,839.49	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x333a…d40abacked Yes	0c	17,985$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	16,741$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.04	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes	3c	16,003$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.75	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	8c	15,676$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.74	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd5…d861backed Yes	0c	15,341$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	14,382$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.68	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	5c	12,455$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.38	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	12,312$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.06	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	11,578$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	1c	11,339$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.28	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	2c	11,300$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.09	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	0c	10,270$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3274…ab8fbacked Yes	0c	10,009$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a6…24d4backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	5c	9,655$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.98	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	6c	9,575$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.47	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	6c	8,844$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.61	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	6c	8,429$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.82	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	7,912$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.53	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	5c	7,751$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.2	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	0c	7,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	7,422$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.83	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	7,394$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.8	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	13c	7,232$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.42	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e0…281ebacked Yes	14c	7,089$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	4c	6,915$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.53	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	1c	6,474$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	5c	6,150$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Yes	1c	5,995$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.16	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f9…a9ddbacked Yes	2c	5,986$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.04	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	5,854$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes	3c	5,848$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.4	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	11c	5,807$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.67	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	8c	5,794$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.62	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	4c	5,713$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.93	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	11c	5,418$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.1	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7905…ed6ebacked Yes	0c	5,374$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	2c	5,349$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.31	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	0c	5,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb67e…e422backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	1c	4,982$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	3c	4,522$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.54	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	4,218$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	16c	3,690$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	3,629$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.41	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	2c	3,255$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.28	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	3,226$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.76	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…a576backed Yes	2c	3,088$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	11c	3,004$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	3,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	2,938$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.73	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	9c	2,767$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5357…a8f8backed Yes	3c	2,731$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.49	144	13.2%19 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	4c	2,730$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.41	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	2,672$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	2,640$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.36	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	2,625$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes	6c	2,564$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	2c	2,545$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	4c	2,545$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.85	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1845…93a5backed Yes	11c	2,506$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70c7…e672backed Yes	15c	2,480$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.83	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	2,477$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.46	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	2c	2,405$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.69	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd50a…0eb1backed Yes	12c	2,309$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.04	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a9…707abacked Yes	19c	2,185$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.42	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	18c	2,170$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.11	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	6c	2,086$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.9	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes	0c	2,044$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes	6c	2,005$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	3c	2,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	7c	2,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	4c	2,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	3c	1,983$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	2c	1,938$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	102	7.8%8 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	4c	1,915$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.49	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	1,900$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.05	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	6c	1,885$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.63	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	2c	1,729$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes	9c	1,724$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	1,665$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc958…fcffbacked Yes	16c	1,665$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,568$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.07	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e27…ef09backed Yes	7c	1,548$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.15	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	5c	1,539$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.95	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	6c	1,500$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.2	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	8c	1,500$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	1,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9910…f5f9backed Yes	10c	1,480$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.41	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x094c…e608backed Yes	5c	1,446$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.1	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb7…7331backed Yes	14c	1,444$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.56	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	1,424$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.57	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	7c	1,419$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	3c	1,387$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bf…3658backed Yes	17c	1,383$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event