Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f14be72544e1f15d1ff65f1086a2418bdb595902d091ed48590ff791893b331

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,543,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,371,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,543,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 923 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	29c	39,601$11,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,075.92	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	25c	35,912$8,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,952.66	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	29c	27,758$7,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,772.63	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8556…fad9backed Yes	49c	23,696$11,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,143.31	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	48c	22,872$11,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,820.11	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	63c	21,728$13,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,144.99	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d39…b8c6backed Yes	18c	19,879$3,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,338.05	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	28cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	33c	19,402$6,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,960.42	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	33c	19,345$6,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,029.13	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed No	25c	17,084$4,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,271.1	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	29c	13,404$3,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,531.47	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	18c	13,240$2,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,797.35	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	18c	13,238$2,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,849.67	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	34c	12,394$4,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,223.22	599	27%162 W · 437 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c5…89f3backed Yes	31c	12,117$3,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,418.38	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	27c	11,956$3,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,752.31	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	49c	10,997$5,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,635.73	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce72…01f2backed Yes	23c	10,871$2,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,422.15	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	17c	9,157$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,641.96	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	23c	8,003$1,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,182.83	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	7,936$5,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,740.02	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	58c	7,918$4,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,291.21	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	21c	7,890$1,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,261.5	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	29c	7,698$2,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,493.21	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	7,678$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,456.37	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	75c	7,618$5,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,695.09	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	19c	7,578$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,170.07	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	13c	7,200$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,273.97	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	22c	7,069$1,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,522.49	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	13c	6,783$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,917.56	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	6,420$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,820.89	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	57c	6,090$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,639.51	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	6,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,389.93	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	27c	5,437$1,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,969.76	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…e619backed Yes	64c	5,423$3,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,964.5	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	45c	5,187$2,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,853.27	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c96…1959backed Yes	45c	5,183$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,855	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	28c	5,072$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,672.11	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	39c	4,919$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	23c	4,810$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,680.73	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	43c	4,755$2,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,686.8	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	31c	4,668$1,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,239.87	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Yes	24c	4,588$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,507.62	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	33c	4,576$1,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,088.75	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	35c	4,515$1,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,924.89	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	19c	4,363$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,531.88	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No	80c	4,327$3,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,459.23	40	70%28 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	62c	4,250$2,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,627.86	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	21c	4,196$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,325.38	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…4e78backed Yes	42c	4,192$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,432.79	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…71a0backed No	74c	3,795$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	23c	3,736$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,872.23	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…746fbacked Yes	28c	3,620$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620.14	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	22c	3,587$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,804.67	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	31c	3,539$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,427.77	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	15c	3,420$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,899.44	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	22c	3,229$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,518.39	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked No	78c	2,950$2,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,301	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	74cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No	58c	2,942$1,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,701.96	108	57.4%62 W · 46 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	40c	2,918$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,748.49	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	39c	2,834$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,731.75	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…e965backed Yes	14c	2,819$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,414.48	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e78backed No	76c	2,810$2,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.49	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb7…7331backed Yes	33c	2,804$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,886.54	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	19c	2,799$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,259.34	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	31c	2,697$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.34	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	38c	2,697$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,682.88	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	25c	2,659$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.66	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	64c	2,600$1,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,675.8	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	22c	2,600$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,023.34	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	27c	2,512$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,826.17	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1c…41cebacked No	69c	2,510$1,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,731.91	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	23c	2,508$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,927.79	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	26c	2,491$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,842.26	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes	45c	2,478$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.69	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…20d4backed Yes	30c	2,444$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,701.99	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	20c	2,412$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,926.79	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	47c	2,370$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260.17	108	17.6%19 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Yes	37c	2,331$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.78	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	54c	2,241$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.29	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x117f…e958backed Yes	21c	2,232$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,764.79	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	35c	2,213$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.48	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x779a…5792backed Yes	24c	2,209$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+46%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	17c	2,200$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.81	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	32c	2,193$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.59	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	27c	2,186$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,589.64	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed No	28c	2,175$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5190…6c17backed Yes	39c	2,156$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.12	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb260…715abacked Yes	57c	2,100$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.06	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Yes	21c	2,093$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,643.08	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	15c	2,052$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.29	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	15c	2,008$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,711.58	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb82…b721backed No	72c	2,007$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.66	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	10c	2,001$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,804.59	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fe…4a5bbacked Yes	32c	2,000$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,820	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	80c	2,000$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.97	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	7c	1,990$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.63	123	8.9%11 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+54%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	1,983$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.34	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	1,944$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,788.27	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event