Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a83aed3b55721f710d28e47e3b9712e77b068e9e14275396d27b57dbe57113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,185,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $684,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 0c | 59,510$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…01d7backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1032backed Yes | 0c | 22,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes | 7c | 21,398$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.94 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 0c | 20,900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,664$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 274 | 0.4%1 W · 273 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3ccebacked Yes | 0c | 18,870$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 5c | 18,528$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.5 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…9d92backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,945$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,185$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 136 | 0.7%1 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +635.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,047$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 129 | 0.8%1 W · 128 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 0c | 10,670$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes | 0c | 10,619$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 519 | 8.3%43 W · 476 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6914…3cbcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,227$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…a8f8backed Yes | 0c | 9,175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 144 | 13.2%19 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…ea3dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,811$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f9…ea0fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 4c | 6,656$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 144 | 11.1%16 W · 128 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,390$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 0c | 6,345$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…ab1dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,312$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 11c | 6,022$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.23 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…281ebacked Yes | 9c | 5,586$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 5,517$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,361$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 126 | 14.3%18 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…03ddbacked Yes | 0c | 5,028$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…365abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,622$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.77 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…7341backed Yes | 2c | 4,620$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 340 | 8.2%28 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 0c | 4,403$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 137 | 13.1%18 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…3909backed Yes | 0c | 4,217$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 5c | 4,206$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 4,108$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…01f2backed Yes | 9c | 4,077$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 97 | 7.2%7 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…f2cdbacked Yes | 15c | 3,815$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.12 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 10c | 3,665$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 209 | 24.9%52 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 6c | 3,518$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed Yes | 0c | 3,408$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…338abacked Yes | 0c | 3,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 3,044$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,044$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 1c | 2,802$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 416 | 10.6%44 W · 372 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…71e9backed Yes | 0c | 2,702$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…6646backed Yes | 1c | 2,659$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 2,422$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…99adbacked Yes | 6c | 2,367$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…3658backed Yes | 0c | 2,290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…cc26backed Yes | 1c | 2,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 7c | 2,073$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 398 | 6.8%27 W · 371 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…e672backed Yes | 10c | 2,042$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 15c | 1,997$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…730dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,973$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 8c | 1,970$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb28b…3d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,899$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…93a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,825$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,818$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 3c | 1,733$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 207 | 4.3%9 W · 198 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,708$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,698$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 8c | 1,691$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…c634backed Yes | 1c | 1,686$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,683$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,615$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…6f61backed Yes | 13c | 1,513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 459 | 11.3%52 W · 407 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…250ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Yes | 1c | 1,497$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 235 | 9.4%22 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…ef09backed Yes | 6c | 1,488$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,396$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…d71cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,390$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 1,349$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 176 | 5.1%9 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5047backed Yes | 3c | 1,263$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +58%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…7557backed Yes | 1c | 1,256$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…7a5bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,242$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…6babbacked Yes | 4c | 1,234$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,213$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 118 | 5.9%7 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 11c | 1,140$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 123 | 11.4%14 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…19e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,102$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 8c | 1,091$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,067$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 2c | 1,046$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb7…7331backed Yes | 12c | 1,030$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,014$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…b2b3backed Yes | 2c | 997.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 51 | 2%1 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 8c | 985.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 4c | 955.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Yes | 12c | 941.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Yes | 3c | 921.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3318backed Yes | 13c | 895.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.